With Nottingham Forest losing 2-0 to Everton, it means the gap to safety is now just three points with only four games remaining.
1. Man City
Pep Guardiola's side dropped down to third after not being in league action this weekend, but Opta say they still have a 62% chance of retaining their title. Photo: Alex Pantling
2. Arsenal
The Gunners are given a 22.1% chance of winning the league and a 40.3% chance of finishing second. Photo: Naomi Baker
3. Liverpool
Jurgen Klopp's side have a 15.9% chance of finishing first and a 49.4% chance of finishing third. Photo: Justin Setterfield
4. Aston Villa
Unai Emery's side are now overwhelming favourites for that fourth spot, with a 80.7% chance of taking the final Champions League place. Photo: Michael Steele